|London, 1 Feb 2007.
For immediate release.
"The report is already out of date and uses cherry picked science, with more computer modelled alarmism based on short term changes extrapolated into long term trends. Although the IPCC 'working groups' consist of around 2000 climate scientists, the structure of the reports represent the viewpoint of a relatively small number of scientists known as 'lead authors,' along with input from the policymakers themselves. There is normally scientific disagreement in every chapter, and this report will be no different."In fact a number of scientists are openly bickering over the report, with complaints that it doesn't contain enough alarmism. Media-friendly but inaccurate hyperbole has occurred before. Hurricane expert Dr Chris Landsea has resigned from the IPCC, following a misleading press briefing by his Lead Author, stating,
"I personally cannot in good faith continue to contribute to a process that I view as both being motivated by pre-conceived agendas and being scientifically unsound."A more objective, Independent Summary for Policymakers (ISPM) of the latest United Nations report on climate change will be released Monday, February 5 in London, by 50 scientists of The Fraser Institute, a well-known Canadian think tank.
"The summary for policymakers is not written by climate scientists but by appointed officials described by climate scientists as a 'curious group' with 'no technical competence'. The media rarely if ever comment on the main reports, which carry statements warning that our climate is chaotic and complex, and that accurate predictions are impossible. The scenarios considered do not lead to predictions but to 'story lines'."2012 sees the end of the failed Kyoto agreement and the expected onset of a deep minimum in solar activity. The computer modelled hypothesis of carbon dioxide driven climate change will shortly be tested against the alternative solar activity/cosmic ray flux/cloud formation explanation, which already enjoys support from climate data. The significant global cooling expected in the next few decades means we must make energy security a priority over futile King Canute attempts to control the climate with political hot air and yet more taxes.
"We have some concerns about the objectivity of the IPCC process, with some of its emissions scenarios and summary documentation apparently influenced by political considerations."
"There are significant doubts about some aspects of the IPCC's emissions scenario exercise, in particular, the high emissions scenarios. The Government should press the IPCC to change their approach."
"After some prolonged deliberation, I have decided to withraw from participating in the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). I am withdrawing because I have come to view the part of the IPCC to which my expertise is relevant as having become politicized ... I had served both as an author for the Observations chapter and a Reviewer for the 2nd Assessment Report in 1995 and the 3rd Assessment Report in 2001, primarily on the topic of tropical cyclones (hurricanes and typhoons). My work on hurricanes, and tropical cyclones more generally, has been widely cited by the IPCC ... Shortly after Dr. Trenberth requested that I draft the Atlantic hurricane section for the AR4's Observations chapter, Dr. Trenberth participated in a press conference organized by scientists at Harvard on the topic ... The result of this media interaction was widespread coverage that directly connected the very busy 2004 Atlantic hurricane season as being caused by anthropogenic greenhouse gas warming occurring today ... I found it a bit perplexing that the participants in the Harvard press conference had come to the conclusion that global warming was impacting hurricane activity today. To my knowledge, none of the participants in that press conference had performed any research on hurricane variability, nor were they reporting on any new work in the field. All previous and current research in the area of hurricane variability has shown no reliable, long-term trend up in the frequency or intensity of tropical cyclones, either in the Atlantic or any other basin. The IPCC assessments in 1995 and 2001 also concluded that there was no global warming signal found in the hurricane record."